Premier League relegation picture, scenarios, permutations: How Burnley, Nottingham Forest and Luton Town can stay awake

The Premier League season is drawing to a close and three more teams are fighting to avoid the two remaining relegation places.

Sheffield United are the only club whose relegation from England’s top flight is confirmed, but there are also Burnley, Luton Town and Nottingham Forest hoping to avoid joining the Blades.

Meanwhile, we already know two teams who will replace them from the Championship as Leicester City and Ipswich Town sealed their promotions in recent weeks.

The Championship Play-Off will decide the third and final team in the Championship to compete in the Premier League in the 2024/25 season.

Sportive News takes a look at the three teams’ scenarios and the overall relegation picture.

MORE: When are the championship playoffs?

Premier League relegation picture and permutations

Sheffield United: relegated

Chris Wilder’s side already have an unwanted piece of history to their name, conceding the most goals in a 38-game season. They are set to surpass Swindon Town’s Premier League record of 100 goals in 1994/95 when the division had 22 teams, level with the Robins. Only Leicester in 1908/09 (102) and Darwen in 1891/92 (112) conceded more in an English top-flight season.

The Blades avoided becoming the new worst team in league history as they broke the record for the fewest points in the Premier League. That slice of ignominy still belongs to Derby County’s 11-point campaign in 2007/08

Their season was marred by heavy defeats both at home and away. They suffered a humiliating 8-0 defeat at home to Newcastle in September, a 5-0 defeat away at Burnley and a demoralizing 6-0 hammering at home to Arsenal in March where they conceded five goals in just 40 minutes .

Remaining matches – Everton (A), Tottenham (H)

Burnley: 19th ahead of relegation

Burnley, despite picking up some momentum in recent weeks, face a daunting task against Tottenham, who are still clinging to slim hopes of catching Aston Villa for the final Champions League spot.

Vincent Kompany’s side must win at Spurs to have any chance of survival in a potentially crushing final-day clash against Nottingham Forest at Turf Moor.

Remaining matches – Tottenham (A), Forest (H)

Luton Town: 18th facing relegation

Rob Edwards’ side have seemingly become everyone’s second team this year as they kept to their word of taking the game to the opposition and causing discomfort to some of the league’s big guns.

But will it be enough to keep up? A trip to West Ham, who recently announced that David Moyes will leave at the end of the season and will have nothing to play for, could play in Luton’s favour.

Their other chance to pick up points comes in a similar situation where they will be backed by a home crowd on the final day against Fulham, another side sitting comfortably in mid-table.

Remaining matches – West Ham (A), Fulham (H)

Nottingham Forest: 17th in the Premier League

Forest find themselves in a position to retain their Premier League status next season as they sit one place above the drop zone, three points above Luton and with a vastly superior goal difference. A win against a resurgent Chelsea at home would effectively rule out relegation, while results elsewhere this weekend could also remove any danger from their trip to Burnley.

Remaining matches – Chelsea (H), Burnley (A)

English Premier League table 2023/24

Updated Monday, May 6, 2024

Item Team puncture Matches
He scored
The difference
1. Arsenal 83 36 88 +60
2. the city of Manchester 82 35 86 +54
3. Liverpool 78 36 81 +43
4. Villa Aston 67 36 73 +20
5. Tottenham Hotspur 60 35 69 +11
6. Newcastle United 56 35 78 +22
7. Chelsea 54 35 70 +11
8. Manchester United 54 35 52 -3
9. West Ham 49 36 56 -14
10. Bournemouth 48 36 52 -11
11. Brighton 47 35 53 -4
12. Wolves 46 36 49 -11
13. Fulham 44 36 51 -4
14. Crystal Palace 43 36 49 -8
15. Everton* 37 36 38 -11
16. Brentford 36 36 52 -8
17. Nottingham Forest** 29 36 45 -18
18. Luton town 26 36 49 -29
19. Burnley 24 36 31 -35
20. Sheffield United (R) 16 36 35 -65

*10 points deducted for breaking profit and sustainability rules. The penalty was reduced to six points on appeal, but a further two points were then deducted for another breach on 8 April.

**Four points deducted for breach of profit and sustainability rules on March 18.

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